The latest word (as of August 2, 2007) from ESRI regarding support plans for various ArcGIS 9.x products on the Windows Vista operating system can be found here. Briefly, ArcGIS Desktop (ArcMap, ArcCatalog) is not certified, but they are working on it. I'm sure ESRI will let us know once their products are ready to go, but for the time being, better stick with XP on systems you cannot afford to have trouble with.
SEE LATEST UPDATE: BLOG ENTRY FOR JANUARY 4, 2008
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